That’s because Golden State’s defense is tailor-made to stop the Rockets

Houston’s ability to scorch teams from deep behind the three-point line usually rips apart defensive game plans. Not so with the Warriors. That’s because Golden State picks up shooters 28 feet away from the basket, sometimes further. Watch Klay Thompson and Patrick McCaw in this clip.

The Warriors’ defense is also a reason why Harden, arguably the league’s most feared isolation player, has turned the ball over so frequently. The Warriors take the three-pointer away, then make calculated gambles helping on a driving Harden.

With the seasons having gone as they have, it shouldn’t be much of a surprise to see the Saints a strong betting favorite, even on the road. New Orleans opened as a 6-point favorite and line has since shifted even further in its direction. Some oddsmakers currently have New Orleans pegged as a 10.5-point favorite.

New Orleans is an obvious pick to win the matchup straight up, but there is more of a question when betting against the spread. The Saints’ 6-3-1 record against the spread isn’t nearly as good as their 8-2 record straight up. Even more troubling is that most of New Orleans’ success against the spread has come at home, where the Saints are 5-0-1 ATS. Their record against the spread drops to 1-3 on the road. Atlanta is just 2-8 ATS this season, but has fared much better at home, going 2-3.
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Both teams have been known to have prolific offenses in recent years, and the total opened at 53 points. New Orleans is once again lighting up the scoreboard, averaging 28.8 points per game, the second-highest total in the NFL.
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